Category Archives: Driller Q & A

Creating Effective Retention Campaigns

Jim answers questions from fellow Drillers
(More questions with answers here, Work Overview here, Index of concepts here)

Topic Overview

Hi again folks, Jim Novo here.

Have you ever offered a $100 off coupon to a new retail customer? I have. And guess what? There was no response, even though the average order size across all customers was $38!

So how is this kind of situation possible? Some products attract customers that are only interested in that product, and they are not going to buy again – period. Knowing this, the question for you: is this the kind of product you want to constantly feature / promote?

Guess that depends on the Drillin’, eh? Let’s get to it …


Creating Effective Retention Campaigns

Q:  Hi Jim,

Love your newsletters.  Do you have a tip jar I can use to donate to the cause?

A:  Hmmm…maybe I ought to start one…nah.  It all works out in the end!

Q:  Take a look at this chart I did of cumulative customer purchase Recency (actual numbers changed but the relationships are same): See below for explanation **

** Jim’s Note: How to read the chart:

“In the past 3 months, (“3” on horizontal axis), 30% of our customers have made a purchase (“30%” on vertical axis).  In the past 7 months, almost 40% of our customers have made a purchase.  Because the last category is “last purchase 36 months ago or longer”, the chart includes all customers – 100%.  

Since each customer can have only 1 “most Recent” purchase, each customer is on the chart only once.  Therefore, if 40% of customers have made a purchase in the past 7 months, 60% have not made a purchase.

Q:  What does this pattern (the % of total by group) tell one generally about the attrition in the business model?  It’s interesting, I’ve never looked at this kind of diagram before.  For our business (wine retailer with “club” option), I generally consider anyone with a transaction in the past 12 months to still be a customer.

Continue reading Creating Effective Retention Campaigns

Customer Retention in a High Churn Business Model

Jim answers questions from fellow Drillers
(More questions with answers here, Work Overview here, Index of concepts here)

Topic Overview

Hi again folks, Jim Novo here.

Yea, sometimes customer retention is a very tough gig; some businesses are simply not likely to encourage repeat purchase. But you can still try, right? Or perhaps focus your efforts on where the real power to affect customer value is for this type of business – acquisition and onboarding.

Let’s Drill Down …


Q:  I bought your book a few months ago and I thought it was great.

A:  Thanks for your support and kind words!

Q:  I did what I could using your book, but my mind is going in circles and I need help. Unfortunately I can’t pay big bucks and am hoping that the “case” will be of enough interest to allow you to help me out at less than you could charge to bigger companies.

A:  Perhaps! For example, I am always open to interesting projects if I can use them to publish a case study (names changed to protect the innocent)… most large companies do not want customer retention data revealed and it is tough to get case studies out there…

Q:  What I do: My company sells prepaid calling cards on the web.  I have been working at the company for 2 years and 4 months now.  Consumers purchase the service to place international calls at reduced rates from their landlines and cell phones.  They have no obligation to re-purchase.  They can buy any increment between $10 to $100 at a time. They can recharge their accounts at any time.

A:  Yes…

Q:  What I’ve found so far:

They seem fall into two main groups ­ those that buy only once, and those that buy more than once, but then each of these sub-groups has lots of sub-segments and it is confusing.  Some last a week, others last 2.4 years.

A:  This is typical…

Q:  My goals: 

Continue reading Customer Retention in a High Churn Business Model

Second Purchase Marketing

Jim answers questions from fellow Drillers
(More questions with answers here, Work Overview here, Index of concepts here)

Topic Overview

Hi again folks, Jim Novo here.

HIgh end hardgoods. One of the most difficult retail categories to deal with from a customer retention perspective, both offline and online. Only vehicles are tougher. In some ways, the category can be easier online, but perhaps not for a single local store due to competition. So what’s the best way to attack the repeat purchase peoblem? Focus on where you have the highest likelihood of success – 2nd purchase Latency. Ready for the Drillin’?


Q:  I loved your book, thanks.  Armed with it, I feel like I can achieve much more than most small retailers in terms of CRM.

A:  Thanks for the kind words!

Q:  I have a question though.  I sell relatively high-priced furniture and design items, and as this is our first year of business, our inventory is pretty small.  As a result, my Frequency totals range from 1 to 4.  That’s it, after a year of business.  About 75% of our customers have bought once and it “ramps up” to 4 from there.  I use “ramp” in the broadest sense of the word.

A:  Yep.  That’s the hardgoods business, especially on the web.  Don’t beat yourself up, it’s early in your game with lines like these, and don’t blame it too much on inventory either.  In the long run, it’s better to sell the *right* stuff than everything you can find, trust me.

Q:  So when I compute RF quintiles, the totals don’t cleanly fit within quintiles.  In other words, for RF scores of X1 ­ X4, customers have purchased once.  X5 customers have purchased 2, 3, 4, or 5 times.  If I raise the hurdle and only look at customers who have purchased more than once, I still can’t fit them cleanly in five quintiles.

A:  That’s one problem with RFM, it’s a bit robotic and works best with larger (usually meaning older) databases…

Q:  I read your article on durable goods purchases and avoiding the one-time-buyer problem.  I guess I’m looking for advice on how to make the “F number” significant until we’ve been in business long enough to get a broader range of frequency options.

Continue reading Second Purchase Marketing