Archive for the ‘Analytical Culture’ Category

MultiChannel Mayhem – CAO Solution

Sunday, February 17th, 2008

Well, the deluge of comments on the Managing MultiChannel Mayhem post was underwhelming for such an important idea, and I bet I know why. 

You thought the system of checks and balances on communicating properly with customers was overly complex and unwieldy.  You could not imagine a self-correcting marketplace of permission within your company that would boost Marketing Productivity and the bottom line.

You’re right, it probably won’t happen at the company you are working at now, even though it’s the right way to go about it.  So let’s look at an alternative that might achieve the same result, shall we?

Even when this kind of marketplace system is set up, there are a couple of problems worth mentioning. 

The first is a “black market” in permission to avoid the scrutiny of ROMI.  Channels / divisions can “cheat” in a number of different ways – using backdoor customer contact trading agreements, withholding / hiding customers, keeping and re-using copies of lists, etc. 

It takes a lot of enforcement and a lot of effort, unless the company was born into this marketplace mode of thinking, and has a centralized customer database.  Then people tend to play fair, which happens at a lot of pure DM companies.  It’s just the mindset; Database Marketing people play it by the numbers - win, lose or draw.  Nobody fears analytics; failure is a learning experience to them, they say “Bring it On!”

The other cheating problem you run into is data torture by the analysts in each channel or division.  In a marketplace model, everybody wants to win, so there is incentive to bend the rules at every turn to produce stats that push your channel or division ahead of the others.  Modify the definition of a customer slightly, for example.  Stretch or compress time periods.  Intentionally use data that has not been cleansed.  Take advantage of slippage in the data update process.  All of that good stuff.

So what’s the answer, how do we solve the MultiChannel Mayhem problem?  How do we correctly implement the Interactive Customer Marketing triad of Relationship MarketingMeasuring dis-Engagement, and Control Groups, but avoid the cheating problems that go on with the Marketplace approach?

Here’s the answer: Every MultiChannel Company involved with at least one Interactive (always on) medium needs a Chief Analytics Officer (CAO), independent and reporting directly to the CEO, with all the senior analysts in the company reporting directly to this CAO.

Really.

One of the things you find out when trying to apply the permission marketplace concept is you need lots of standards and a way to enforce them.  So you have to build this CAO capability / authority anyway, and rulesets to manage the whole thing.  Then everybody still tries to cheat the marketplace but with a CAO sometimes they get caught – usually only after the deed was done.  That’s Suboptimal.

So, to address that, the next phase of the marketplace fix consists of dragging all the analysts that matter out of all the silos, and having them report directly to the CAO, creating a giant Research & Analysis group (R & A).  Then you easily have standards and controls for everything across all the marketing silos.  Standard definition of a customer.  Standard definitions of customer dis-Engagement and defection.  Standard definition of ROMI.  Standard data cleansing and list pull procedures.  Standard data update sequences.  Standard implementation of Control Groups.  All of it.

And then, magically, the importance of the complex marketplace idea actually goes away.  Because with an independent CAO and R & A group reporting directly to the CEO, you get all the benefits of the marketplace without the marketplace itself. 

The CAO only has one directive from the CEO – maximize profit.  Allow the strong Customer Marketing ideas to blossom and the weak Customer Marketing ideas to fail.  It’s the same result as the Permission Marketplace, only with a lot less complexity.

Here are some direct benefits of this approach:

1.  If you have at least one always on, interactive channel, you cannot measure the success of marketing without using Control Groups.  Let’s say you want to implement them.  How are you going to keep other channels / divisions from stomping on your controls and destroying your tests if anybody can access the database at any time and pull contact information for Customer Marketing Programs?

It’s impossible.  You need centralized control of the database and one entity pulling the contact data so that tests are flagged, controls are flagged, and as a result extracts for contact are pure and free from the outside influence of any other direct-to-customer marketing efforts.

2.  There is something quite magical that happens when you put many analysts, each specializing in a different piece of the business, together in the same space reporting to the same person.  They talk to each other.  They go to lunch together.  They discover things the business would never know about otherwise.  Linkages.  Correlations.  Root Causes.  Because much of the analytical gold is buried not in a silo, but across and through a silo into others.

There’s really no way to put a value on the kind of exploration and discovery that can occur when you put many smart people, each concentrating on a different piece of the business, in a group reporting to one person, who in turn reports directly to the CEO.  Standards are clear and alliances are to the customer truth, not to the marketing silo.

I can hear the wailing already on the centralization of analysts. 

“Jim, analysts are always more productive and have a better understanding of the channel if they report to and live with the other channel people”.  Personally, I don’t think that’s true; I know of very successful centralized groups that have great knowledge of the units they cover.  And from a management perspective, the reality of analytical oversight is you don’t want the analysts to become best friends with the folks whose work they are analyzing.  

Without the analysts physically near each other, I think you miss out on much of the analytical synergy.  With the communication tools we have today, it’s just not clear to me why a great analyst cannot have intimate knowledge of a channel just because they report elsewhere or even live elsewhere. 

As I said, the highest ROI analytical gold is often found understanding what happens between and across silos – since when the analysts are each in a silo, this cross-border work is rarely pursued and tends to be undiscovered.  You want to encourage a “world view” of the company at this senior analyst level, not a silo-specific view.

I mean MultiChannel, by definition, means across channels, right?  Who is responsible for that analysis?

And I’m not just talking about “customer” analysts.  If I had my way, I’d have sales, customer, merchandise, supply chain, service, fulfillment – all of the senior analysts – in the same tank to encourage this world view.  You can always have operational analysts in the silo itself - your future senior analysts.

Think about it.  Who is doing cross-silo analysis at your company?  An analyst in a silo?  Right.  Who is going to figure out a check-buyer Marketing Program is not working because they are shredding checks over in Customer Service?

But if physical location is truly important, fine, the reporting relationship - the loyalty / trust chain to the CEO - is the most important part of this idea, not the physical location of the analyst.  The reason this is so important is these folks need to be protected from the inevitable pressure and flack that will be coming at them from silo heads, if the CEO is really looking for the truth.

3.  With the centralized analytical setup, rather than the trading complexities and vagaries of the Permission Marketplace, you simply have smart people who play by the numbers controlling Marketing access to the customer.  So you’re the Catalog Division and you want to mail to new customers of the TV Division?  Fine.  We’ll let you try that a few times, and if it looks like an incredibly bad idea financially, then we simply won’t let you do it any more.

In other words, the message from the CEO to the CAO on down through the R & A Group is this: Folks can test anything they want.  But we will not allow channels / divisions / Marketing silos to interfere with anybody else’s test programs, and we will not allow channels / divisions / Marketing silos to intentionally and repeatedly destroy customer value.  That goes for every business unit and Marketing silo, regardless of who they are or where they are from.

When you get to this point, you know Customer Marketing is actually being run by the numbers.

What does this analytical culture look like in practice?

You can still have your own analysts in your silo, that’s fine.  Each silo with analytical folks gets a standardized, clean data feed to work from – minus contact information if that is what is required to stop cheating – from R & A.  Same data set for everyone.  Nobody from outside of this R & A group pulls from the customer database. 

And as far as any contact data to be used for Marketing, programs that will actually touch the customer, you get your lists from the R & A group, and you get your customer marketing campaign results from the R & A group.  You can track things on your own, sure.  But the final bottom line analysis on customer impact / ROMI comes from R & A.

Any kind of Marketing Success analysis from outside R & A is not used for significant decisions.  If you are trying to argue budget, priorities, people, program success, Strategy, whatever at the senior level, analysis from outside the R & A group doesn’t even make it through the door.  And this has a really interesting effect on senior people.

They actually start making very large and significant decisions based on the data.  Why?  Because they trust the results

Perhaps for the first time in the history of the company. 

Think about it.  If every silo creates their own results, then why would a senior exec really trust them?  These senior folks are not stupid.  So as long as the decisions being made are not that important, as long as the company doesn’t really “live and die by the numbers”, it’s OK to have self-produced, un-audited, un-controlled, “who cares if this is reality” numbers.

Because the numbers don’t really matter.

If you are serious about running a company by the numbers, and that company has any interactive, always on components, you need a R & A Group that is completely independent of any channel or Marketing silo. 

Otherwise, you can’t trust any of the Customer Marketing analysis.

Interactivity is, indeed, different.

MultiChannel Mayhem – Example

Friday, February 15th, 2008

It’s been over 10 years since I left Home Shopping Network, so I’m pretty sure I can tell this Relationship Marketplace story without enraging the Gods.

The mail order channel had a jewelry-only catalog that did quite well, in terms of mail order ROMI.  This book generated the majority of the profits in the mail order division.  What we wanted to know was this: if you looked at the book from the company perspective – across all channels at the customer level – what was the contribution to profits this book made?

When we started using Control Groups on the book and looking more deeply into the Relationship Marketplace, here is what we found:

1.  The book actually lost money versus control.  It virtually had zero impact on sales at the customer level, meaning it was almost completely cannibalistic to TV.  That means the entire cost of the book, plus the cost of discounts, was a net loss on every book mailed.  The more they mailed, the worse the losses were.

I remind you this book generated the majority of the profits at the mail order divisional level.  This revelation was not pretty.

2.  Like the good Marketers they were, the mail order folks had tested all kind of segments across the entire customer database, and found brand-spanking new TV jewelry buyers to be the most productive target.  In other words, they were mailing to the folks with the highest level of Engagement.  This is why the book was very productive at the divisional but not at the company level.  The “always on” nature of the TV channel demand was pulling in buyers all by itself, and the book was essentially just getting these sales that would have happened anyway to switch channels.

3.  Further, and perhaps even scarier, the mail order division was involved with a list exchange that had a “hotline” (new buyer) component.  That meant as soon as TV acquired these highly Engaged jewelry buyers, their contact info was rented by the mail order division to competing jewelry catalogs if they became mail order buyers.  That’s OK for the mail order division, which gets to keep the list rental income.

I should also say list exchanges of this type are standard practice in the catalog business.  So the catalog folks were not doing anything “wrong”, from the catalog division perspective.

But I think we could all agree that situation sucks for the TV channel, which deployed assets to acquire the customer in the first place.  Not only is TV getting hosed on the (company perspective) non-incremental sales stolen by the catalog division through this book, TV is not getting a piece of the list rental income from selling the contact info of their best customers to the competition!

Further, as one might guess would happen with highly Engaged customers, when we held back a control group from the list rental process, those folks who were not rented out delivered higher profits to the company overall than those rented out. 

Just makes sense, right?  Relationship Marketplace, indeed.

What to do?  We simply re-configured the targeting of this catalog to dis-Engaging TV jewelry buyers.  As they stopped buying from TV, this very well-executed book was able to extract another purchase or two from the customer and actually maintain some of them longer term.  Sales for the book dropped dramatically, but these sales were truly incremental versus control, and the book was still profitable.  This also affected list rental, but since the buyers had already dis-Engaged from TV, this issue was not nearly as critical.

Got any multichannel misallocation stories of your own you can share?

Managing MultiChannel Mayhem

Wednesday, February 13th, 2008

So, you’re saying to yourself, all this talk about Control Groups and Measuring dis-Engagement and Relationship Marketing, is there any other reason to care about this stuff besides Campaigns?

Yes – addressing MultiChannel Mayhem – the fact that few companies have a solid plan for really optimizing the multichannel system.

Kevin shows us why MultiChannel Mayhem matters here.  Turns out multichannel customers are not always the best customers.  Of course, you knew that, right?  I mean, you have relationships with multichannel vendors you conduct through a single channel, right?  And you would consider yourself a pretty darn good customer, right?

The reason Control Groups, Measuring dis-Engagement, and Relationship Marketing are so important is they comprise an entire MultiChannel Interactive Marketing System.  It is pre-built and ready to go, customized to take advantage of and optimize Interactive Customer Relationships, where sometimes the most profitable Marketing is to do none at all.

If you are an analyst / technical background, you would probably be more comfortable studying the system from the bottom up, from the very measurement-oriented idea of Control Groups up through Measuring dis-Engagement to the Marketing Strategy idea of Relationship Marketing - what, how, then why.

If you are a Marketer, you would probably be more comfortable studying the system from the top down, from the Marketing Strategy idea of Relationship Marketing down through Measuring dis-Engagement to the measurement-oriented idea of Control groups – why, how, then what.

Why should you care about this system?  Because addressing the problem of MultiChannel Mayhem is built right into the model, along with all the cultural and organizational tools you need to implement.

Let’s go though a common challenge with Multichannel Marketing and see how the system solves it.  First, we need some assumptions:

1.  The goal is to optimize the MultiChannel system for Return on Marketing Investment - not sales, not share, etc.
2.  Given proper measurements, people will make rational decisions.
3.  The general concept of long-term customer value is important to the company and people act accordingly

Now, let’s address a common problem – no controls on who uses the customer database or what it is used for.  Any division or channel can market to any customer at will, doing whatever it is they want to do, regardless of previous messages. 

This is a mess, and you know it.  Customers are being bombarded with conflicting brand and offer messages.

Here’s how the above system solves that problem:

1.  The division or channel that acquires the customer owns the customer exclusively for some period of time.  After all, they started the Relationship, they invested in acquiring the customer, they should get the rewards of the Potential Value they have created.  No other divisions are allowed to communicate with the customer without the permission of the acquiring entity.

2.  The acquiring entity retains this exclusivity to the customer only as long as they can maintain an active Relationship with the customer.  Once dis-Engagement has grown significantly, the customer is open season for any division or channel.  This is why it is so incredibly important to define and measure the dis-Engagement process.  The customer is evolving, and this rule ensures the company is flexibly responding and evolving with the customer, following the Relationship, and maximizing value.

3.  After the initial acquisition and subsequent dis-Engagement, whichever channel or division has the most current relationship owns the customer.  If a customer defects from one channel to another, the “ownership” passes as well.

4.  The channel or division with the most current relationship can at any time sell communication permission (basically, rent the list of customers Engaged with it) to other channels or divisions if it wants to.  This is not only a nice way to help offset acquisition costs, it also creates an internal marketplace of relationship permission, where only the communications which generate incremental customer value survive the Controlled Testing process

If you have to rent a list of new customers from the acquiring entity and pay for that list, you are going to be more thoughtful and careful regarding what kind of communications you send.  Realizing that prior communications are going to affect the success of your communications to this rented list, you are going to tend to stay on brand message and within established communications guidelines.

In other words, this construct enforces financially responsible testing.

The rental fees are negotiated between buyer and seller.  The seller can charge different fees for access to different segments, for example, known best buyers cost more to rent than predicted dis-Engagers.  Any segmentation you want.  This is a CPM-based rental fee arrangement to keep list access prices fair across channels.  I suppose you could go to CPA, but that’s probably going a bit too far, given the lack of ability for some channels to track such things.

5.  If the customer is a true multi-channel customer – active in multiple channels or divisions simultaneously – then all channels the customer is active in have permission to communicate with the customer.  Any activity with any division or channel – including service requests - indicates Engagement is current and resets the dis-Engagement clock to “Currently Engaged”.  This addresses the above scenario Kevin has painted, which is more like the reality of multichannel relationships – they ebb and flow between channels over time.

From the company point of view, this system is a self-regulated, self-optimizing customer value generating machine.  It ensures that from whatever channel or division perspective you view the system, the strong survive and the weak fail, but the Potential Value of the customer is always maximized.

6.  If, from a Strategic perspective, the Company wants to intervene in this system, that is permitted, as long as there is compensation to the Relationship-generating asset gatherers.

For example, when launching a new channel or product line with no customers to start with and no cash flow.  The Company, on behalf of the new channel or line, pays rent to all the other channels for the permission assets they have generated.  The channels still get a return on their assets, and for the Company, it’s simply accounting for a real cost – the cost of cannibalizing existing sales in another channel / line or acquiring the customer.

From a practical perspective, whether money actually changes hands or not in the permission marketplace is a company culture thing.  The more sophisticated database marketing companies will often force real monetary exchange because they understand customer value so well. 

Other companies might simply run debits and credits in a spreadsheet, creating more of a “list exchange” type of scenario but one that still provides controls on (for example) inundating best customers with communications and ignoring defecting customers.  These credits can be used to pay for other cross-channel marketing activities as well, for example, the mail order division wants to put catalogs in the web division’s outbound shipments and pays with credits received from the web division’s use of catalog e-mail addresses.

A self-regulating, self-optimizing system for Managing MultiChannel Mayhem, built on Relationship Marketing, Measuring dis-Engagement, and Control Groups to keep everybody in the system honest.

It’s really no different than, say, optimizing a PPC campaign – except it’s only about customer communication, and instead of optimizing across keyword sets and landing pages, you are optimizing across the entire company, every campaign in every channel against each other.

So, do you have Multichannel Mayhem at your company?

If so, does it matter to you or not?  Matter to anybody?

If it does matter to you, do you think the system above would address the problems you have?

 

Interview-Podcast w/ Jim Novo

Friday, February 1st, 2008

Friend and fellow blogger Alan Rimm-Kaufman spent some of his valuable time asking my opinion on various online marketing issues in a far-ranging interview and podcast.

We met in person for the first time doing a presentation together at the DMA show in Chicago this fall, and because he used to work at Crutchfield – a truly customer-driven remote retailer – we share some experiences and beliefs.

For those of you who might be wondering where a lot of the Marketing Productivity ideas I post here come from, this interview-podcast is probably a pretty good backgrounder.  We talk about a lot of stuff, including:

Monetizing customer experience

Importance of Control Groups / Source Attribution

Multichannel Marketing Strategy

LifeCycle Contact Strategy versus Calendar-based

Retail Business Models / Lab Store

Search box or not? / Serendipity

How to tell if online customers are really engaged – without web analytics

Here’s another link to the Interview-Podcast.  Enjoy! 

That was lots of fun, thanks Allen!

*** Listen Up! (VRU Optimization)

Thursday, January 17th, 2008

Speaking of the role Marketing should play in Operations, here’s the first article I have ever seen in a Marketing context about optimizing a VRU / IVR.  This challenge is really very similar to optimizing a web site.  You have path, and traffic down branches of path.  You have bounce rates and exits.  You have the same “choices with correct context” issue that is the heart of designing good navigation and inline link text.  You have usability.

Fact is, a VRU / IVR is a technical interface to humans, just like a web site is.  And just like many web sites, it was probably built and programmed by some engineers without a lot of direction from Marketing or Customer Service.  There’s really no reason at all why the folks optimizing the web site should not also optimize the phone system too – especially if they do a good job with the web site!

I optimized my first VRU in 1991 at HSN.  This was very new technology back then, and our customers were kind of shocked by it.  Nobody used it.  When I finally found an engineer who could print out a “path map” and I went through all the branches, I understood why nobody used it - confusing choices, unclear language.  Sound familiar?  Only 2% of customer orders were being processed through the VRU.  And besides, customers like talking to live reps.

A real Marketing through Operations problem.

First we worked with the engineers to redo the branching and change the language so the VRU was smooth and easy to use.  We pushed high frequency paths to the top of the stucture and sunk the low frequency stuff, eliminating steps for most transactions.  Sound familar?  I also felt the close on the transaction was ambiguous, so we built in a clear “confirmation” the order had been placed correctly.  Sound familiar?  How long did it take online carts to include a confirmation e-mail?

But then the Marketing problem.  Lots of people had used the VRU and thought it sucked.  How do we get them to give the new unit a chance?  How do we get them to actually like using it?

Next, we gave the VRU more personality.  We named it Tootie and had it toot a horn at the end of the order placing process – just like the hosts did (back then) on the live TV show.  An “audio confirmation” if you will.  So now the VRU does something the live reps can’t do – give customers a “Toot”.  That helps address the “liking to use” issue.

But we still have the problem of trial – how do we get people to try the revamped interface out?

Fashion programming is what the core customer eventually migrated to; we knew this from previous hard analysis (not surveys or gut feel).  If we could get these high order frequency customers to use the VRU, we’d get a significant jump in usage.  Fashion shows were very high velocity and because sizes and colors are frequently involved, certain SKU’s can sell out quickly.  So we had the hosts in those shows talk on air about how if customers used the VRU they would beat out everybody else ordering through a live rep.

In other words, “If you really want this product, you better use Tootie” - the “persona” we created for the VRU.  Hard customer benefit.

Within a very short time, we had 20% of customer orders coming through the VRU, on it’s way to 80%.  Saved the company an absolute boatload of money – and made customers happy in the process!

How did we know they were happy?  Hard analysis (% best customers using VRU, % of their orders placed by VRU) and surveys of course, but we had a better indicator than these metrics - the number of Christmas Cards Tootie received each year. 

That’s right, customers sent holiday greetings to the VRU.

How many greeting cards did your VRU / IVR receive last year?

Seriously though – what other customer-facing, technology-driven business processes can you optimize?  You already know how to do this from the web site experience.  Let’s create a list.

And here’s another link to that article – Listen Up!

 

Marketing through Operations

Wednesday, January 9th, 2008

OK, so to review, here’s the premise.  Customer-centricity is something companies want to embrace more than ever.  Company can do this through a Chief Customer Officer, but why isn’t a Marketing exec taking the reins on this issue?  In direct marketing companies – where customer-centricity is not just a fad, but has a decades-long history – the Marketing folks know that Operations typically contains a goldmine of customer-centric Marketing opportunities they can take advantage of.  Many of these opportunities come from problems with empathy and context - or for the more technical folks out there, “Usability”.

Yes, you can optimize the service side of a business just like you can optimize a web site.  Here is how:

1.  Do you have a relationship with a peer in customer service?  If not, that’s really short-sighted for a marketing person who wants to be viewed as a strategic thinker – find someone, OK?

2.  Does customer service record the reason for each call?  If not, that’s nuts.  Most every call center system provides this capability, but you do have to turn the damn module on and populate it with the reasons people call.  So if the center is not using this functionality, get talking about how to get it turned on.

3.  You and your customer service peer need a list of the reasons people call.  Get this by talking, of course, with the agents.  If such a list does not exist, create it.  If such a list does exist, review it – it’s probably filled with crap or default reasons that don’t really have much to do with your business.  This is the most common mistake I see made in the “customer centric” area – using default call reasons not customized for the business.

4.  Once you have the module running and the call reasons right, make sure the agents know how important it is to status every call correctly.  Tell them by statusing calls, you plan to make their jobs easier by reducing routine problem calls, allowing them to spend more time on quality of call and resolving complex issues.

5.  Determine how to report on compliance with correct statusing.  If you don’t do this, all your effort will be subject to failure.  Hint: Do not provide agents with a giant ”other reason” bucket; force accurate call accounting by providing a full and complete call reason set that only allows a very small percentage of “other reason” ticks.

6.  Find out from Customer Service or Finance what the internally acceptable “cost per call” calculation is; what does Finance think it costs to take a customer service call?

7.  In conjunction with customer service, study the reasons people call and think about how to reduce the need for those callers to call.  This project is about reducing or eliminating the triggers for a call.  Why do they call?  FYI, most really customer-centric companies have a meeting on this topic every week.  At HSN, we had this meeting every day.  Why?  Because we could react in real time.  If you are in an interactive business, perhaps you can too.

8.  In many cases, you will find they call because of things marketing does or could affect, for example:

  • Confusing language or other problems with marketing materials / advertising – this is a huge category which includes all kinds of bad Marketing execution – wrong or expired coupon codes, collateral distribution problems, etc.
  • Incomplete or confusing instructions or product packaging
  • Incomplete or confusing installation process or procedures
  • Pricing or bundling logic issues – the options don’t make sense to the customer
  • Problems with call center script language or logic
  • Illogical touch-tone trees or branching problems
  • All kinds of similar problems with the web site too numerous to mention here

Note to web analysts reading this:

Sound familar?  After you optimize the web site, find out if they will let you join the BI unit and optimize the business.  Idea: Optimizing a VRU / IVR is really no different than optimizing a web site using path analysis – think about it.  Traffic sources, the funnel, leaky bucket, pogo-sticking.  Same thing.

9.  Get off your GRP-lovin’ ass and fix the operational problems Marketing is causing or can affect. 

If you are saying to yourself, “But I don’t have control over a lot of the items on this list” then ask yourself why that is.  All this stuff is about copy and presentation, and heck, you’re the expert in those areas, right?  So why don’t you have control over these issues?  Did you ever ask for this control?  If not, why?  That’s what a strategic thinker would do, because all these customer contact issues directly affect customer value and retention.

This stuff is marketing.  It directly affects the value of the customer and customer retention, not to mention word-of-mouth.  You want that new fangled social media thingie you bought to boost sales, right?  How about optimizing the customer experience with your company?

Oh, I forgot, less than 30% of you said increasing customer LifeTime Value is a top marketing objective.  So I guess less than 30% of you should move to the next step.

10.  Measure the reduction in phone calls for these problem areas you have fixed, calculate the cost savings, present to senior management.

Extra credit: measure the increase in customer satisfaction, if that’s all you can do.  Better than nothing.  Hopefully you have some kind of statistically correct, longitudinal study going and can measure satisfaction properly.

Super extra credit: measure the actual reduction in customer defection and monetary value of this reduction.  That’s the right thing to do and will boost the monetary value of your actions tremendously.

11.  Pitch strategic seat at the table / Chief Customer Officer responsibilities using knowledge from “why they call” study and resulting operational modifications.  You will have no shortage of future issues to work on.  Somebody has to do it, might as well be you.

12.  Convene cross-functional team, you will need it.  Get best and brightest from every area of the company or unit.  At minimum:  Marketing / Sales, Customer Service, Finance, IT, Distribution

13.  Start fixing more stuff that pisses the customer off, generates calls, and truncates customer value.  Achieve customer centricity.  After all, they tell you every single day what pisses them off. 

Why don’t you fix this stuff? 

Any takers?  Anybody doing this?  Any Marketers think they will get resistance if they start poking their nose into customer service land?

 

Marketing into a Downturn

Friday, December 28th, 2007

The following is from the December 2007 Drilling Down Newsletter.  Got a question about Customer Measurement, Management, Valuation, Retention, Loyalty, Defection?  Just ask your question.  Also, feel free to leave a comment. 

Want to see the answers to previous questions?  The pre-blog newsletter archives are here.

Q:  I have been asked to create a whitepaper on marketing strategy and tactics for a down or recessionary market.  In your studies and travels have you come across any literature or have thoughts of your own that I may quote?

A:  Well, I suppose someone has written something about it somewhere.  The trades write about it for every downturn! But I don’t know of any primary work on the topic – case studies, research, etc.

I do know that when we get into a down / recessionary market my phone rings more and I work a lot harder.  The “new client” customer retention business is counter-cyclical; people always wake up during the soft times and say,  “Hey, if we can’t drive new customer volume, maybe we can sell more to existing customers!”.  You know, the CEO or somebody read that somewhere…

The problem with this kind of thinking is, in most cases, it’s already too late to do anything about customer retention.  That’s not something people generally want to hear.  I then say, “The economy is cyclical.  Do you want to be prepared for the next downturn?”

The people who answer yes to that question will often become clients; those looking for the “quick fix” generally won’t become clients – but they call again into the next downturn…

It’s a strategy thing, you know?  Long term thinking?  But I digress…

The insidious thing about customer defection is that it’s always there, eroding the asset base, wasting away the hard work.  But people don’t see it until the flow of new customers shrinks, and then all of a sudden, the defection issue is laid bare. 

This is why the retention business is so counter-cyclical; why “discovery” comes in  the downturns.

What you normally find is whatever business change / policy / product is causing customer defection, it takes as long to build up the customer asset again as it did to destroy it. Here is a real-world example.

A retailer makes a significant change in the types of products it sells, because it wants to “attract more new customers”.  For existing customers, revenue per customer starts to fall.  This fact is masked on the revenue side by the attraction of new customers to the new products – for a while.  But it ends up these new customers, in terms of revenue per customer, have a value about 30% less than the old customers.  So even though new customer adds remain consistent, sales start to drop, and over time drop by 30% as old customers defect and are replaced by the new customers worth 30% less.

Two years into this process, a downturn in the economy causes more attention and analysis of the customer base, and this issue is exposed.  Surprise!  The newer kind of customers defect at a higher rate and in a shorter time than the old type of customers.

New management is brought in, and they decide to go back to selling more of the “older” product to attract the higher value customer.  Once they make the switch, it takes just as long for sales to get back to where they were as it did to create this problem in the first place – 2 (very long) years.

And that’s why it is so tough to deliver a “quick fix” to these kinds of problems.  They are systemic in nature and because you are talking about the value of a customer over time, take time to fix.

So, it may well be that your advice should ultimately be “use this downturn to prepare for the next one”, if you know what I mean.  Investigate, learn, and understand what happens this time, so you know what to do next time.  In terms of action items, a few:

1. Analyze the customer base, to understand the source of customer value.  Who are the best customers, where do they come from? Which media, sales persons, product lines, services, geographies, etc. create the “best  customers” for the business?

2. Analyze these best customers, and understand their behavior.  What would be a warning sign that these best customers – who are probably responsible for the lion’s share of your profits – are cracking into the downturn?  Slowdown in orders per month, average order size, number of contracts, whatever the relevant metrics are.

3. Track a handful of these customer metrics and see how they change as the economy slows.  These metrics will be a map for predicting actual trouble the next time – predicting trouble even before everyone is already talking about “a downturn”.  This gives you the extraordinary advantage of lead time over your competition in reacting to the downturn in business.

4. Complete the same 3 steps above for medium value customers and low value customers, if you have the resources.

5. Now, fully understanding what you have to work with (perhaps for the 1st time?), what is the strategy for a downturn?  Generally, it would consist of a reallocation of resources away from lower productivity to higher productivity activity, in order of importance:

a. For best customers, how do we keep them? 
b. For mid value customers, how do we grow them?
c. For low value customers, how do we reduce costs to acquire or service them?  Note I do not advocate “firing” customers, but you certainly can cut back on acquiring as many low value ones.

For each group, you should have a specific (and probably different) strategy and set of tactics.  What a lot of folks don’t understand is there is almost always a truly remarkable difference between these customer groups, and any “one size fits all” edict or direction is bound to screw up the business,  just like the example of the “new customer” effort from the retailer above.

For example, we know that marketing spend generally softens in a downturn.  Companies cut back on marketing because they feel like they are “pushing on a string”.  They cancel or don’t buy advertising, they fire salespeople.  This is the wrong move.  The old saw about buying more marketing into a downturn to “grab share” can also be the wrong move, though has some “accidental” positive effects.

The company should invest in more marketing, but not across the board.  They should buy the right marketing, the marketing that generates the best quality customers.

They should reallocate marketing resources away from generating “c” customers towards generating “a” customers.  If you know trade shows generate leads which turn into “a ” customers and online ads generate leads that turn into “c” customers, you take the money you spend online and book more trade shows.  You let go of salespeople that generate “c” customers and use that salary to bonus salespeople generating “a” customers.

Of course, this analysis and planning is an exercise that should be done all the time, not just into a downturn.  A business should always be trying to understand where customer value comes from and how it is created.  But unfortunately, this issue most often comes up going into a downturn.

You’ll have to excuse me now, the phone is ringing again…

Comments or questions?  Does your company have a “downturn plan”?  Or is it business as usual, just less marketing activity across all the channels?

Control Group Series

Sunday, December 23rd, 2007

This post is an index for the Control Group series.  The following posts were written sequentially but appear on the blog in reverse chronological order which makes a hell of a mess of trying to understand a somewhat complicated topic.  So instead, try reading them sequentially using this index:

Why Use Control Groups?

Control Group Benefits

Culture of Control (Groups)

Are You in Control?

Poison Control

Poison Control

Sunday, December 23rd, 2007

This post is part of a series on control groups.  The first post is here, a list of all posts in the series here

Using control groups standardizes success tracking across:

Platforms
Sources
Channels

so that you begin to really understand what types of marketing create the most value.  There’s only a couple of things left you need to know to start using this gold standard of customer campaign measurement.

I would be remiss if I didn’t at least warn you once to make sure you use a true random sample of the campaign population for the control group.  The direct marketing road is littered with the bodies of those who failed to create a truly random control group for one reason or another, usually accidently, sometimes intentionally. 

For example, they sort by customer number lowest to highest then truncate sample selection before the whole population has been sampled, not realizing the lower the customer number, the longer the person has been a customer.  This creates a bias in control towards “older” customers and screws up the result.  Another common mistake is while trying to make sure the sample is random from a demographic perspective, they end up with a behavioral bias like a higher percentage of Recent buyers in Control than in Test.  There’s nothing that will make your campaign look like it sucked more than stacking Control with customers more likely to respond than those in Test!

The final issue I’d like to bring up is the ”organizational stamina” required to execute a controlled testing program. 

In large organizations, a challenge you may encounter is having other people’s campaigns “poison” your control or test groups.  The whole idea of the control is to have this group different in only one way from the test group – they don’t receive your campaign. 

What can happen is someone working with a different segmentation scheme can end up targeting portions of your test or control group, and now you don’t have a controlled test anymore – the control or test has been “poisoned”.

Just to be clear, if the test and control groups are targeted equally, then your test should still be valid, though the overall outcome might be different.  For example, let’s say you have your test and control groups and the company decides to drop a newsletter or announcement to all customers.  Since both test and control will be exposed equally to this newsletter, the incremental effects of your campaign should be preserved. 

Likewise if a national TV campaign is launched.  Your campaign might perform better overall because of the TV, but the lift you get in test versus control should be the same because the TV should affect both test and control equally.

In large organizations where many different groups access the same customer or prospect database, you can see how this poisoning of controlled tests would get to be a mess in quick order.  Without coordination, people would be stomping all over the tests by targeting a piece of a control here and a piece of test there. 

In orgs that are serious about Marketing Productivity, you do typically see a gatekeeper of some kind at the database, making sure that new list pulls do not interfere with any controlled tests that are running.  And yes, sometimes you have to wait to execute your test because there simply are not enough names to go around for the segment you want.  But this is a small price to pay compared to the total chaos of not ever knowing which marketing really works and which does not.

Clearly, there are some Marketing folks who don’t care to know how a campaign really works; “response” is just fine.  In fact, marketing chaos in the database is good for these folks.  Chaos is a fantastic barrier to accountability and the Marketers can just claim ignorance of this control group issue.  That is, until someone with a background in Business Intelligence asks why controls are not being used - and that will not be a pretty day for the Marketer.

But for the analysts out there, I really think it is your duty to start looking at the use of control groups.  Try it a few times and see what you get.  I guarantee you’ll be surprised, and the data you see will open the door to new kinds of thinking and more effective marketing programs for your customer base.

Are You in Control?

Wednesday, December 19th, 2007

This post is part of a series on control groups.  The first post is here, a list of all posts in the series here

Mike Moran recently wrote about how Search Marketing is Direct Marketing.  I myself commented ”the Web is a direct marketing machine” back in 2001 when most people hated the idea of PPC marketing and thought it would never catch on.

Most of the critical breakthroughs in optimizing online marketing have been based on direct or database marketing principles that have been around for decades.  In my last post on Control Groups, I said “the insights you will get from using controls will be mind blowing.  You will begin to really understand customer behavior, and that’s the first step to creating truly game-changing customer marketing campaigns”.

I have some examples for you.

Check out this list detailing some of those insights.  Sure, they are in the form of “mistakes” but they are insights nonetheless.  See 41 Timeless Ways to Screw Up Direct Marketing by Nicholas J. Radcliffe.

The interesting thing about this list is most of these mistakes can only be identified if you are using control groups; that’s how important the concept is to customer-centric marketing.    For some mistakes on this list, you will think to yourself, “How could they ever measure that?”

The answer is one you are familiar with: repeated testing, in this case over many different industries and using many different data sets.  But you have to add controls to the test or you won’t see the effects.

Many of these mistakes are things you hear the CRM / customer-centric / CGM pundits talk about all the time, stuff like talking down to the customer, over-communicating, or being intrusive.  But these same folks never offer any conclusive proof of the financial damage these acts can cause; it’s all “gut feel”. 

How would you like to be able to prove what the damage caused by reckless marketing is really worth?

Online marketers are currently making many of these same 41 mistakes - they just don’t know it yet.  #17 and #19 are going to be very disruptive when they become widely understood.  If you want to understand more about these mistakes, a specific example is here or for a broader framework to work from, see here.

But the real question at hand is this: Will you be a driver of the next level of achievement in online customer marketing by suggesting (and eventually requiring) the use of Control Groups?

In the final post of this series, we’ll touch on two challenges with the implementation of control groups.